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Is the Future of U.S. Oil Really Secure?
Money Rumor Mill
Written by Marin Katusa, Chief Energy Strategist, Casey Energy Report   
Wednesday, 28 July 2010


Two words that any oil company dreads to hear are “export duty.” Especially if the word “increases” or “introduced” is floating around there too.


So when Kazakhstan introduced an oil export duty to meet shortfalls in the national budget, the mood wasn’t exactly jovial.


On July 13, the Kazakh government brought back the tax that had been abolished during the financial crisis. A US$20 tariff will be levied on every ton of crude oil exported from the Central Asian nation. The hope: collect some US$406 million in additional revenue by the end of the year.


The energy-rich, former Soviet republic has some of the largest oil and gas reserves in the Caspian Sea basin, producing 1.43 million barrels per day (bbl/day) in 2008. And as the giant Tengiz and Karachaganak fields are developed further, an additional 1.5 million bbl/day will be coming off the production line.

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Avoiding the Biggest Mistake Investors Make
Market Analysis & Insights
Written by Dr. Steve Sjuggerud   
Wednesday, 28 July 2010
True Wealth subscribers pocketed triple-digit profits… in a stock that did nothing.

How did they do it? I'll show you in just a minute. But it comes down to this:

Each of us is our own worst enemy – particularly when it comes to making money in the markets. We're either too greedy and we hang on too long, sometimes watching a big winner turn into a big loser… or we're too fearful and we sell once we see a tiny profit, completely missing out on a big winner.
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Hoping for a Break
Market Analysis & Insights
Written by Toby Connor   
Tuesday, 27 July 2010

I want to discuss something that came up on the blog Friday. An anonymous poster hinted that we were going to see more gold weakness in the days ahead because big money was having to sell  positions. Folks, big smart money traders don’t sell into weakness.

These kind of investors don’t think like the typical retail investor who is forever trying to avoid draw downs. Big money investors take positions based on fundamentals and then they continually buy dips until the fundamentals reverse. The fundamentals haven’t reversed for gold so I’m confident in saying that smart money isn’t selling gold, it is using this dip to accumulate.

With that being said there are times when big money will sell into the market and it is why so often technical analysis as it’s used by retail traders doesn’t work. They do so in order to accumulate positions. Let me explain.

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What Goes Up Artificially Comes Down Hard
Market Analysis & Insights
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Monday, 26 July 2010

Hi Everyone: Once again we are learning that the powers that control the stock market can drive it up higher and for a longer period of time then we can anticipate. Although I don't think it will last as long as the Feb 9th through April 26th "low-volume, non-stop rally", it appears that they are going to drive the major stock averages and indices up another 2 or 3% at least. 

The encouraging language in the second paragraph below in Marty Chenard's report at Stocktiming.com today (and the chart that he uses to illustrate his points) translates this way; Marty writes the following:

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Goldman Sachs Still "Under the Microscope"
Money Rumor Mill
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Monday, 26 July 2010
While regulators seems to overlook some of their "cousins" like JP MorganChase (NYSE:JPM), Goldman Sachs seems to be the favorite target and distraction of those assigned to act like watchdogs and oversight sleuths.

Today's annoucement that the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, a U.S. panel investigating the causes of the financial crises, may bring in outside accountants to scrutinize Goldman Sach's (NYSE:GS) systems for data on its derivatives business is the latest focus.
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Geithner Says U.S. Employers `Very Cautious,' Job Growth Not Fast Enough
Money Rumor Mill
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Sunday, 25 July 2010

Bloomberg's Ian Katz commented in a report today that Treasury Secretary Geithner said today that U.S. companies scarred by the financial crisis remain “very cautious” and are trying to get more productivity from current employees before hiring new ones.

Job growth is “not as fast as we need,” Geithner said in an interview broadcast today on NBC’s “Meet the Press” program. Employers “are still cautious, still very cautious,” he said. “So they’ve been trying to get as much productivity out of their employees as possible.”

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Good News and Bad News for the Stock Market
Market Analysis & Insights
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Sunday, 25 July 2010

First the good news from our friends at U.S. Global Research  on the Domestic Equity Market:

"The figure shows the performance of each sector in the S&P 500 Index for the week. Nine sectors gained with one only sector declining, healthcare which fell less than one percent. The best-performing sector was industrials, up 7 percent. Other better-performing sectors included materials and consumer discretion. The three worst-performing sectors were healthcare, consumer staples and utilities.

"Within the industrials sector the best-performing stock was Textron Inc., up 20 percent. Other top-five performers in the sector were Eaton Corp., Dover Corp., Emerson Electric and Precision Castparts Corp."

S&P 500 Economic Sectors

 

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Bring Out Your Dead
Money Rumor Mill
Written by David Galland, Managing Director, Casey Research   
Sunday, 25 July 2010

Last week, the price of gold again broke below its new base at $1,200, and the U.S. stock market was again under strong pressure, due to a confluence of fears, most of which point to a deflationary double-dip. The fears were fanned by disappointment in the just-released early quarterly results, by the latest CPI reports that show inflation continuing to moderate, and by yet another poll revealing faltering consumer confidence.

The market is also spooked, no doubt, by notes from the latest Fed Beige Book that make it clear that the Fed is (finally) beginning to understand the entrenched and endemic nature of this crisis. While the notes are written in shamanic double-speak, the point is unambiguous – members of the Fed don’t expect the economy to get back on track until 2015 or 2016.

    “Participants generally anticipated that, in light of the severity of the economic downturn, it would take some time for the economy to converge fully to its longer-run path as characterized by sustainable rates of output growth, unemployment, and inflation consistent with participants' interpretation of the Federal Reserve's dual objectives; most expected the convergence process to take no more than five to six years.”

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Okay--It Looks Like a Rally, But Will it Last
Market Analysis & Insights
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Thursday, 22 July 2010
Today was a great day to be a bull, and to have your investment funds in the best sectors. After embarking on a precipitous plunge yesterday, stocks were ready to sky-rocket today.

A round of upbeat earnings reports from high-profile Dow components provided a nice alibi for the bulls, with traders cheering quarterly results from the likes of 3M Company (MMM), AT&T (T), and Caterpillar (CAT). Positive economic data (albeit suspect and somewhat contradictory) from the euro zone provided an additional boost, and the Dow finished up with a 200-point gain by the time today's session ended.

"And just like that, things are better," said Schaeffer's Research Senior Technical Strategist Ryan Detrick. "As ugly as yesterday was, today was just as nice for the bulls. Earnings across the board came in very strong, and buyers stepped up."
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The Mysteries of the "Historic Financial Overhaul" Legislation
Market Analysis & Insights
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Wednesday, 21 July 2010

Well the President signed "it' into law. "It" is the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection financial reform bill which was signed at the Ronald Reagan at the Ronald Reagan Building in Washington.

This seems so ironic, especially if you saw the gripping documentary movie, "Capitalism...A Love Story". If you haven't, and you have an open mind and a strong stomach, don't hesitate to see it soon. It's a good introduction to the "mysteries" of the financial system and how powerful it truly is.

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A Tale of Two Global Economies
Money Rumor Mill
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Wednesday, 21 July 2010

Once upon a time, in a land far, far away from the moon and the planet Mars, there was a strange bifurcation of opinions concerning the state of the global economy.

It is said, "When the United States gets a cold, the whole world gets pneumonia", and this chilling metaphor may still be relevant. 

According to the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Dr. Ben Bernanke, the economic version of an "upper respiratory  infection" may be giving off many and various "symptoms", which could send feverish chills throughout the rest of planet Earth's susceptible financial infrastructure.

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Is Now a Good Time to Buy Gold?
Money Rumor Mill
Written by Jeff Clark, Senior Editor, Casey’s Gold & Resource Report   
Tuesday, 20 July 2010
While we’re convinced gold and gold stocks are destined for much higher levels, buying when prices are low can mean the difference between a double or triple and a ten-bagger... a week in Malibu vs. a week in Milan. 


There’s no secret formula to buying low, and we aren’t holding the right hand of Midas, but there are periods when prices tend to be lower than others. And if those tendencies play out, it can give us the opportunity to snag a high-quality asset at a bargain price.


So, how do you get a bargain price? You cheat.

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1001 Reasons to Own Gold


By Jeff Clark, Senior Editor, Casey’s Gold & Resource Report


Tracking the numerous ongoing bullish factors for gold is quite a chore. There are, quite literally, so many compelling arguments for holding our favorite metal that I used to catalog them each month in our letter.

 

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