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The latest rumors and gossip from Wall Street, investment media and the trading floors.


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Comments, insights, analysis and opinions on the investment markets, indices, sectors and charts.

Time to Go Global
Money Rumor Mill
Written by By Chris Wood, Editor, Casey Research   
Thursday, 02 September 2010
Here at Casey Research, we really don’t enjoy being a buzz-kill. It’s just that we think it’s more important for investors to be well informed about the reality in which we find ourselves today than it is to be happy-go-lucky all the time.


The good news is that when the stuff hits the fan, as it has for going on two years now, it opens up a number of unexpected opportunities for profit. Even in the hairiest situations, there are ways to protect yourself.


Having said that, let’s start with the bad news…


If you live in the U.S., your taxes are about to get much, much, higher. And I’m not talking about the Bush tax cuts set to expire at the end of this year. I’m talking about a structural deficiency in the tax base that will force the spendthrift federal government to demand much more from the productive members of society, no matter who’s in charge of Congress and the White House.

Read more...
 
The Best Time to Short Stocks
Market Analysis & Insights
Written by by Jeff Clark, The Growth Stock Wire   
Thursday, 02 September 2010
Now THAT was a good, old-fashioned bear spanking.

The short sellers never had a chance. The S&P 500 gapped up 20 points yesterday morning, never pulled back even one point, and then added 10 more by the close. Anyone who dared to be too aggressive on the short side of the market on Tuesday was tossed overboard on Wednesday and again today. Now they're stuck, flailing their arms in the water and begging for Mr. Market to toss them a life preserver.

Let's hope they're good swimmers.
Read more...
 
Oil’s Out - Find Out What’s In
Money Rumor Mill
Written by By Marin Katusa, Chief Energy Strategist, Casey’s Energy Opportunities   
Thursday, 02 September 2010


The International Energy Association (IEA) has spoken. What the world needs now is a clean energy technology revolution.


June saw the 2010 launch of IEA’s biannual report, Energy Technology Perspectives. Speaking at the launch was Nobuo Tanaka, executive director for IEA. The Gulf oil spill, he said, could prove to be a tipping point in the world’s energy consumption habits. He added that the disaster serves as a tragic reminder that our current path is not sustainable.


As far as the IEA is concerned, this is probably a very important moment to start looking at alternative energy sources. If we, as a collective group of consumers, continue on the business-as-usual path, the scenario for 2050 is looking grim.

Read more...
 
Is Anybody Bullish? Maybe Dividend Recipients?
Market Analysis & Insights
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Tuesday, 31 August 2010

The Business Insider posted a story on Yahoo! Finance today that is somewhat surprising. They are quoting a Thomson Reuters analysis of the 30 largest fundamental hedge funds has found that these major players slashed their risk exposure to the stock market in the second quarter, by opting for defensive stocks such as dividend-payers or utilities, or by shifting away from cyclical industries such as materials and energy.

The article goes on to say, "You're not in that investment mindset of a few years ago any more, and a lot of risk has been taken off the table already," said Steve Goldman, senior market strategist at Weeden & Co in Greenwich, Connecticut. "The consumer is in dire straits, the economy's resilience has been disappointing, and everybody's bracing for it."

This of course isn't news to our readers, but we've been encouraging all of us to take note of how negative and "dire" the current financial news headlines have become---for some odd reason or motive. The point of the article quoted above is summarized in their own words below:

Read more...
 
Are Large-Cap Stocks a "Sucker's Bet"?
Money Rumor Mill
Written by Alexander Green, Investment Director, The Oxford Club   
Tuesday, 31 August 2010

Chief Investment Strategist, Investment U

The investment advisory industry is full of gurus - and various charlatans - claiming that they made incredible stock market calls.

But Wharton Professor Dr. Jeremy Siegel made perhaps the greatest call of all time at the right moment and for the right reasons. Those who listened to him saved themselves many thousands of dollars - and untold agony.

Now Dr. Siegel is making another bold prediction. You can only ignore it at your peril. Here's why...
Read more...
 
Stumbling Markets and "Uncle Scam"
Money Rumor Mill
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Monday, 30 August 2010

When it came to today's market action, I defer to Andrea Kramer at Schaeffer's Research who wrote, "The major market indexes stair-stepped lower throughout the merger-and-acquisition-marked session today, as the Street interpreted the latest round of economic data as a sign the proverbial glass is half empty. While the Commerce Department said personal spending climbed 0.4% in July – more than the expected rise of 0.3% – the figures were quickly overshadowed by discouraging personal income data. More specifically, the government said personal income rose only 0.2% last month, falling short of economists' prediction for 0.3% growth, and leading many to believe that the jump in spending is only temporary.

"Furthermore, the disappointing results loomed even more ominously ahead of Uncle Sam's highly anticipated employment figures for August, which are set to hit the Street on Friday. Against this backdrop, stocks extended their retreat through the final hour of trading, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) harboring a triple-digit deficit by the time the closing bell mercifully rang.

"In what is going to be a busy week on the economic-data front, today's sell-off is rather disappointing, as it continues to show the bulls can find no consistent buyers," noted Senior Technical Strategist Ryan Detrick."

Read more...
 
Do P/E Ratios Still Matter with Stocks?
Market Analysis & Insights
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Monday, 30 August 2010

Bad news matters and so does good news, when it comes to the direction of stock prices. So do the intentions and operations of the market mover and "specialists", who are also called "market makers".

But what makes a stock "cheap" or "under-valued"? In the past it had something to do with the ratio between the current price of the stock and the earnings of the company that the stock represented.

An article on today's Yahoo! Finance site referred to an article in the Wall Street Journal titled, "The Decline of the P/E Ratio" and it makes some great points and begs some important questions.

 

Read more...
 
Casey Research named to Inc.'s TOP 5000 Companies
Money Rumor Mill
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Thursday, 26 August 2010

Respected Economic Research Firm Among
Fastest-Growing Private Businesses in America


Stowe, VTRenowned investment newsletter firm Casey Research has been named to the prestigious Inc. 5000 list of the fastest-growing, privately held companies in America. The annual list published by Inc. magazine is determined by a company’s revenue and growth.


“Casey Research has experienced tremendous growth since its inception, and the current economy has not changed that. As investors grapple with a difficult markets and unheard-of economic conditions, more and more of them are taking control of their own investment strategies,” said Olivier Garret, CEO of Casey Research. 


“With a team of skilled economists and analysts who travel the world looking for undervalued investment opportunities, Casey Research presents analysis of economic trends that allows our subscribers to make intelligent decisions.”

Read more...
 
Beware of the "September Bear Trap"
Market Analysis & Insights
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Thursday, 26 August 2010

"More often than not, the Labor Day weekend has marked the end of the traditional summer rally. If the Market has started to decline in August, the month of September usually sees an acceleration of that decline. Despite the plurality of August advances in Presidential election years, “the month of September has shown a plurality of declines in Presidential election years”.


“September is the record pivot month with the historical accent on “bear” Market starts (bull Market peaks)”. Again, caution in September to be justified depends on the previous trend of the Market. “The month is not to be feared if a major low has been recorded within the previous twelve months”. “Bull” Market peaks were recorded during this month in 1912, 1929, and 1939."

Written by Richard Wendling on his site, "The Bear Facts Specialist Report" which we recommend you familiarize yourself with http://www.bearfactsspecialistreport.com/stock_market_timing.htm

Read more...
 
Ron Paul on Gold Pricing and Why We are Buyers
Money Rumor Mill
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Wednesday, 25 August 2010

Gold's price is "probably" suppressed surreptitously by the Federal Reserve, U.S. Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, remarked today in an interview with Daniela Cambone of Kitco News.

Seeming to refer to GATA, with which he has had regular contact in recent years, Paul told Kitco News in regard to gold price manipulation:

"I am not the one to lay out proof of this. Others have done a lot of investigation. One of the reasons I don't dwell on that is they are not going to listen to us. But I think it is very important somebody talks about it and emphasizes it just as a warning to be careful. You don't have to only anticipate what the markets are doing, but you have to anticipate what the government is doing."

Read more...
 
If You Liked the Movie "Eat, Pray, Love" Read This Article
Seeing Green Articles
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Tuesday, 24 August 2010

First, I confess that I went to see the movie, even though I was certain it was going to be a "Chick-Flick"---a.k.a.--Mainly for a Female Audience.

Boy (excuse the male pun) was I wrong! This is a movie that men can learn a lot from, especially if they are already fathers and have a family or thinking of starting one.

Which leads to the question posed in an interesting article I read today. According to one of my favorite "Green" web sites, there just may be a powerful "green" message to this movie, and it gave me  some "food (organic) for thought".

Read more...
 
Stocks Tumbling: Hussman Sees "Abrupt Collapse"
Money Rumor Mill
Written by Marc Courtenay   
Tuesday, 24 August 2010

Stocks sank for a fourth straight day after another disappointing report on housing deepened worries that the economic recovery could be fading. Bonds rallied and yields fell as investors sought out more stable investments.

The Dow dipped briefly below 10,000 for the first time in seven weeks and has now lost 375 points since its four-day slump began last Thursday. The yield on the two-year Treasury note reached another record low as cautious investors fled fearfully into the bond market.

Read more...
 
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1001 Reasons to Own Gold


By Jeff Clark, Senior Editor, Casey’s Gold & Resource Report


Tracking the numerous ongoing bullish factors for gold is quite a chore. There are, quite literally, so many compelling arguments for holding our favorite metal that I used to catalog them each month in our letter.

 

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